Will Meebo kill Myspace?
Ok, sure I know it sounds crazy. But hear me out. What's the only thing that teenagers spend more time doing online than hanging out at myspace? They use IM. IM is the defacto communication tool for teens online – they use email only to talk to parents and teachers.
Imagine if Meebo added super-cool web 2.0 social networking, plus maybe a bit of Second Life virtualization. Basically a Myspace killer based on features. The ingrediants are out there – something will supercede Myspace, just look how old and decrepit that site looks compared to what people are doing now. Someone will come along with something super interactive, immersive, and cool. As Danah Boyd puts it, the "next blinky shiny object".
The problem is, how do you launch a new social network site and actually grab any users? Answer – build on their existing IM buddy lists. This is what AOL plans to do. Given Meembo's growing base and Ajax cred, they could be in a good position to do this. Who knows, maybe that crazy valuation wasn't so crazy after all.